Mastercard's preliminary SpendingPulse results showed U.S. holiday retail spending rose 7.6% between November 1 and December 24, 2022. The estimate excluded vehicle sales, covered all payment methods and was not adjusted for inflation.

Online sales increased 10.6% compared with the same period in 2021. E-commerce accounted for 21.6% of retail spending, up from 20.9% a year earlier. Mastercard associated the increase with convenience and shoppers' access to promotions.

SpendingPulse combines Mastercard network activity with estimates for other payment methods. The comparison below retains the original release period and definitions; it describes retail spending rather than gift-card sales, redemption or Mastercard revenue. The public release does not give the underlying transaction count, model parameters or uncertainty intervals.

The data behind the story

Online share of US holiday retail spending

November 1-December 24 in 2020, 2021 and 2022, as reported in the preliminary December 26, 2022 release.

% of retail spending

Source
Mastercard SpendingPulse original release

Share of total retail spending excluding automotive in the same holiday window. These are spending shares, not growth rates; the source is not inflation-adjusted. The 2022 release is preliminary and does not isolate gift-card purchases or redemptions.

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Online share of US holiday retail spending (% of retail spending)
Category% of retail spending
202020.6 % of retail spending
202120.9 % of retail spending
202221.6 % of retail spending

Black Friday was the highest-spending day of the season, recording 12% year-on-year growth. December Saturdays also attracted substantial shopping. Restaurant spending rose 15.1%, reflecting demand for gatherings and experiences alongside gift purchases.

Mastercard economist Michelle Meyer said inflation had led consumers to seek discounts and make trade-offs within gift budgets. Adviser Steve Sadove described a heavily promotional season. The December 26 figures measured nominal spending, so the increase should not be read as an equivalent rise in items purchased.